On the 52nd anniversary of the legendary Rumble in the Jungle, two more boxing icons are due to square off in the ring. Although it hasn’t been officially confirmed yet, reports suggest that Floyd Mayweather and Mike Tyson have both tentatively agreed to an exhibition match on April 25th 2026.
The match will take the form of eight two-minute rounds and, although this is an exhibition event only, there’s a significant purse at stake for both fighters. At the moment, traders on Kalshi favors Mayweather to win, at 75% on the ‘Yes’ contract compared to Tyson’s 25%. However, some boxing analysts have backed Tyson to achieve an underdog victory.
Floyd Versus Mayweather – Overview
Described as a ‘Legend vs Legend’ event, the fight between Mayweather and Tyson is due to take place in the Democratic Republic of Congo, in commemoration of the original Rumble in the Jungle between Muhammad Ali and George Foreman. In that fight, underdog Muhammad Ali managed to win thanks to an eighth-round knock out.
Like the Rumble in the Jungle, Mayweather versus Tyson is expected to be a huge spectacle. This will be purely an exhibition match and the result won’t count towards Mayweather’s 50-0 professional record. It will also feature shortened rounds that are designed to protect the health of older fighter Tyson.
Key Factors That Could Impact the Fight
To help you make your pick at Kalshi, we’ve outlined some of the key factors which could influence the outcome of this fight:
Is Tyson the Bigger Hitter?
59-year old Mike Tyson hasn’t appeared in the ring since he took on Jake Paul in November 2024. Tyson has reportedly picked up an injury while training, but boxing commentators have suggested that Tyson could have the edge as the larger competitor and the bigger puncher. The proposed fight will take place over a shortened setup of two minute rounds, rather than three minutes, so could favor the fighter who can have more immediate impact.
Exhibition Match Rules
As this is a non professional match, neither Mayweather or Floyd have to meet a specified weight class. Instead, there’s a weight range. Typically, Tyson fights as a Heavyweight, at around 220-230 lbs, while Mayweather is a WelterWeight, at 150-160 lbs. To compensate for this big weight difference, the boxers will use 14 or 16-ounce gloves. These will slow down Tyson’s punches and add more padding to remove their sting.
Busy Scheduling
Mayweather has a busy 2026 planned. In fact, this year will be his most active in more than ten years. As well as the fight against Tyson, Mayweather will face Mike Zambidis, the 18-time Kick-boxing World Champion in Athens in another exhibition match.
Then, on September 19th 2026, Mayweather is scheduled for a rematch against Manny Pacquiao in Las Vegas, putting his 50-0 career record in jeopardy. While Mayweather certainly won’t want to give up against Tyson, he may want to focus more on his upcoming bouts.
What Analysts and Forecast Models Are Saying
While most commentators and prediction markets are backing Mayweather to win this match, no one is writing off ‘The Baddest Man on the Planet’. Mayweather is ten years younger than Tyson and has a stronger record but Tyson holds a significant weight advantage plus a minor advantage in reach.
How to Trade This Question at Kalshi
If you want to back Mayweather or Tyson at Kalshi, you can follow this quick guide to make your pick:
- Use our links to head over to Kalshi and log into your account.
- Go to ‘Sports Predictions’ and find the Tyson v Mayweather bout.
- Back your choice of Yes or No.
- The market will settle once the match has concluded. If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until the rescheduled fight has taken place (within two weeks).
The table below shows the current implied probabilities for this market:
| Boxer | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
| Floyd Mayweather | 75% | $0.77 | $0.25 |
| Mike Tyson | 25% | $0.25 | $0.77 |
For easy access, click the banners on this page to start making your picks on Who Will Win The Mike Tyson vs Floyd Mayweather Boxing Match? On Kalshi.
Conclusion – Kalshi Has Your Picks for Mayweather V Tyson
At the moment, traders on Kalshi are backing Mayweather to win the proposed bout against Mike Tyson. We haven’t had official confirmation of the fight but both boxers have agreed to take part. At Kalshi, you can make your choice of Yes or No picks on this and lots of other markets across sports, politics, entertainment and more. Head to Kalshi now using our banners to get started.
