NVIDIA H200 is a supercharged high-performance computing system that has been purpose-built to run AI. At Kalshi, you can predict what the price of the NVIDIA H200 will be by the end of the year.
The price has been a bit volatile over the last few months, which has been driven by multiple factors. This includes supply chain issues, export controls and alternative models competing for space in the market. According to Kalshi traders, the price of NVIDIA H200 will likely drop below $5.19, which is its current price.
NVIDIA’s Recent Price Performance
The price of NVIDIA has been a little up and down over the past three months, peaking at $7.01 back in May. It then swiftly dropped back down, but over the past week it has been steadily increasing again. This is no surprise as there has been a lot of volatility in the stock market of late.
Key Factors That Could Drive NVIDIA
When we consider trading on the price of NVIDIA H200, it’s important to consider the factors that could drive it up or down.
Supply Chain Issues
NVIDIA H200 is heavily dependent on High-Bandwidth Memory, which is produced by various suppliers like SK Hynix and Samsung. We’ve likely all seen the headlines around data centres driving up the cost of memory, which then affects the price of stocks like NVIDIA H200.
Export Controls
There are strict controls in place for how many H200 units can be shipped to China. However, there are discussions being had around whether broader licenses may be granted. If they were, then there would likely be a sudden surge in demand which could impact the price.
Competitive Alternative Models
NVIDIA H200 isn’t the only high performance computing system to exist, so its pricing is constantly being challenged by similar models. Other alternatives include the AMD Instinct MI300X and the Google TPU V5P.
What Analysts and Forecast Models Are Saying
It looks like other traders aren’t confident that the price of NVIDIA H200 will rise above its current position of $5.19, or much higher either. Currently, the No contract is a higher price than the Yes on every market at $5.19 or above. You can have your say about which way you think it will go by trading on contracts at prediction market sites.
How to Trade This Question at Kalshi
To trade on the price of NVIDIA H200 by the end of the year at Kalshi, simply sign up through our page banners. We’ve popped the current contract prices in the table below, but these will likely change as more traders purchase their contracts.
| End of year price | Chance (%) | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| $5.19 | 44% | $0.45 | $0.56 |
| $5.49 | 32% | $0.44 | $0.57 |
| $5.79 | 24% | $0.24 | $0.77 |
| $6.09 | 19% | $0.19 | $0.82 |
| $6.39 | 12% | $0.12 | $0.89 |
| $6.69 | 6% | $0.06 | $0.95 |
Conclusion – Trade on NVIDIA H200 at Kalshi
So there you have it, a little bit of an insight into what’s affecting the price of NVIDIA H200. There are always multiple factors that affect a stock price, and it’s important to understand where these are coming from so you can decide how to trade. This market is available at Kalshi, for both new and existing users. Simply sign up through our links if you haven’t already so you can explore the available options.
