NBA Prediction Markets 2026: Basketball Prediction Market Contracts

NBA prediction markets let you trade Yes/No event contracts on a range of league-related outcomes. This includes individual game results, Championship winners, player props, and awards such as MVP and Rookie of the Year.

You can win money by purchasing and holding contracts that correlate to a correct prediction, and lose money by getting it wrong. Several US sites offer basketball prediction markets, most notably FanDuel Predicts, Polymarket, Kalshi, Underdog Predict, and Novig Prediction. These sites accept US-based users aged 18+, though availability varies, as we will explain in this guide.

The Best Prediction Market Apps and Sites for NBA

An Overview of NBA Prediction Markets

As we explained briefly above, NBA prediction markets are basketball and basketball-adjacent outcomes that you can predict for a chance to win money. You can participate in these outcomes by purchasing and selling event contracts, most of which are binary (Yes or No).

The top platforms on our list of sports prediction market sites offer a diverse selection of prediction markets for NBA outcomes, including NBA Cup winners, player props, and team futures. In the simplest terms, you can potentially make a profit if you get your predictions right, but there’s a high risk of losing all of your money if you’re wrong.

Pros and Cons

• Diverse selection of NBA prediction markets
• Game results, props, futures, and more
• Available in most of the US
• Discover the best NBA prediction market sites here

• High risk of losing money

The Most Popular Type of Basketball Prediction Markets]

Focusing specifically on the NBA, here are the types of basketball outcomes that you can attempt to predict through event contract purchases:

The Best NBA Prediction Market Sites

If you’re wondering where to find these event contracts, here is what our experts believe are the five best prediction market sites for NBA outcomes:

FanDuel Predicts – Best for NBA Props and Combos

• Available in dozens of states
• User-friendly mobile app
• Wide range of prediction markets
• Trusted brand in the sports industry

• Sports contracts limited to 18 states

FanDuel is a brand that’s synonymous with sports, so it’s hardly surprising that our experts have rated it one of the best for NBA prediction markets. In particular, it offers a massive and very detailed selection of basketball player props markets. This includes over/unders for rebounds and points, plus the number of threes a player will throw.

Another unique feature of this prediction markets app is that you can combine up to eight NBA prediction markets into a single trade. Just tap the yellow “Combo” icon, and you can add the “Legs”.

If you download the FanDuel Predicts app and sign up via the banners on this page, you can get $100 in Precincts Bonuses. To qualify, you just need to trade $1 on NBA or other sports prediction markets for five days consecutively. You can find the app in the App Store (iOS) and Google Play (Android).

FanDuel Predicts is available to US traders aged 18+ in 45 states. However, the NBA and other sports event contracts are only available in 18 states: AK, AL, CA, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, MN, NE, NM, ND, OK, RI, SC, SD, TX, and UT.

Polymarket – Unique NBA Futures

• Excellent trading coverage
• Powerful mobile app
• Speedy deposits and withdrawals
• Peer-to-peer exchange
• Watertight security provisions

• Steep learning curve
• Sports contracts restricted in Michigan

Polymarket is the most widely used prediction market website and app in the United States. It covers a vast range of outcomes and event contracts, including North American and global sports. When it comes to the NBA, the coverage is very detailed.

For an average NBA game, there are over 130 prediction markets that you can trade on. This includes adjustable prop markets, where you can change the stat line for every over/under. Additionally, there are some very interesting futures that go beyond the usual Championship Winner and MVP shortlist.

For example, you can predict player trades during the offseason, or who will lead the assists stats across the entire NBA season. When you sign up to Polymarket via our page, you’ll receive a $25 Trading Bonus when you deposit and trade $10 in real cash.

Polymarket accepts US traders aged 18+ from 40 states, with Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada, New York, and Ohio. However, sports prediction markets are unavailable in AZ, IL, MD, MA, MI, OH, and WA. This is subject to change, and you always have to complete full KYC before you can deposit and trade.

Kalshi – Top for Off-court NBA Prediction Markets

• Accessible across the US
• Simple to use
• Explore niche and mainstream markets
• Integrated prediction tools

• Limited ongoing bonus offers

Kalshi was the first prediction markets website and app to launch in the United States, and it still remains one of the biggest. It can rival pretty much any other platform when it comes to NBA event contracts, with markets that include game results and props, NBA season-long futures, and novelty markets like celebrity appearances.

However, where Kalshi has something different to offer is in its off-court NBA prediction markets. Some examples of these include Yes/No contracts on owners selling their franchise stakes, a player’s next high-profile sponsorship, and whether a team will change conferences.

If you are eligible for a Kalshi account, you will be able to claim the welcome offer if you sign up via the links on our page. As you should be able to see in the banners, you can currently get $55 in Bonuses when you deposit and trade $25 as a new user.

Like all prediction markets in the US, Kalshi is regulated by the CFTC and is available to users over 18 in approximately 45 states. However, sports prediction markets are available in a handful of states, including AZ, IL, MD, MA, MI, MN, MT, NV, NJ, OH, and WA.

Underdog Predict – A User-friendly NBA Prediction Market Interface

• Available in 38 states + Washington D.C.
• Great sports coverage
• Responsive support team
• Dedicated mobile app

• No bonus offers

Underdog Predict is a prediction market platform that users in eligible states can access via the main Underdog app. Rather than being a standalone Designated Contract Market (DCM), it sources its NBA prediction markets from other DCMs, including Kalshi.

While it therefore doesn’t have many different markets to offer compared with other apps, it offers a much simpler and more user-friendly interface. If you’re new to prediction markets and just want to make casual trades on NBA games, props, and futures, this is the ideal option for you.

At the time of writing, there isn’t a dedicated prediction markets bonus on the Underdog app. Any promotions that you can find on this site are only usable on other Underdog products. If and when an NBA prediction market welcome offer becomes available, we’ll be among the first to let you know.

Regarding availability, you can trade NBA event contracts on Underdog Predict if you are over 18 and located in one of the eligible states. The Prediction Picks at Underdog are currently not available in AZ, MI, NV, & NY, but there may be partial restrictions in other locations.

Trading derivatives involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. For more information visit: https://www.nadex.com/rules and https://underdogfantasy.com/rules. For Crypto.com Predictions, the term “pick” refers to a product traded on CDNA. 

Novig Predictions – NBA Parlay Predictions

• Trade sports event contracts
• Promos for new and existing customers
• Friend referrals and loyalty program

• Not available in Arizona, Michigan and Nevada

Novig Predictions is the only prediction market site on our list that only offers sports prediction markets. As a result, the interface and market selections are curated for fans of all major sports leagues, including the NBA. The contracts lean heavily on game results, props, and rudimentary NBA futures.

Additionally, you can build multiple markets into a single parlay event contract. If you don’t want to build your own, there are featured NBA parlays that are preset for you. In a standard NBA game week, you will usually find a multi-legged parlay that picks multiple winners of some of the featured games.

The welcome offer on this sports prediction market app is very generous as well. When you sign up via our banners and deposit just $10, you’ll receive $50 in Trade Credits, which you can use on all event contracts, including those that are tied to NBA outcomes.

Novig Predictions has a 21+ age limit and accepts users in 44 states, but is unavailable in Arizona, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Nevada, New York, and Ohio. When you sign up, you will need to verify your ID, residential address, and enable your location to prove that you reside in an available state.

How to Get Verified on an NBA Prediction Markets Site

When you create your account on any of these prediction market sites to trade NBA event contracts, you will have to complete some strict KYC and verification requirements. This is to prove that you are over the age limit and a resident in a state where the platform is available.

Depending on which of our recommendations you have chosen to go with, you may have to complete some or all of these requirements:

• Personal information – To start with, you must enter your full legal name, residential address, and date of birth when you sign up.
• Tax ID verification: Provide your Social Security Number (SSN) or Tax Identification Number (TIN)
• Photo ID verification: Upload your government-issued photo ID card, which can be a US passport, driver’s license, or state/national ID card.
• Proof of address: Some sites may also ask for proof of address, such as a utility bill or bank statement dated within the last three months.
• Financial suitability check: As prediction markets are financial trading platforms, some sites require you to complete a short financial suitability questionnaire, including details of your employment history and trading experience.

NBA Prediction Markets – Summary and Conclusion

NBA prediction markets allow you to trade event contracts on a range of basketball outcomes, including game results, player props, and futures. Some sites, like Kalshi and Polymarket, even let you move beyond the court and trade on events such as player trades, sponsorship deals, and franchise sales or moves.

As we have explained, the top five prediction markets for the NBA are FanDuel Predicts, Polymarket, Kalshi, Underdog Predict, and Novig Prediction. Availability depending, you can register, make a deposit, and buy your first NBA contracts on your platform of choice using the banners on this page. Just be aware of the risks before you get started, as there’s a high chance you’ll lose money.

Explore Our Top Prediction Market Sites

NBA Prediction Markets FAQ

• 🏀 What are the top five prediction markets for the NBA?
  According to the experts at next.io, FanDuel Predicts, Polymarket, Kalshi, Underdog Predict, and Novig Prediction are the top five prediction markets for trading NBA event contracts. FanDuel, Novig, and Underdog are a lot more casual and sports-focused; meanwhile, Kalshi and Polymarket also include franchise- and sponsorship-related markets.
• 💰 Can you actually make money from NBA prediction markets?
  You can make a profit if you buy and hold a position on an outcome that ends up being correct. However, you can just as easily lose money if you get it wrong. That’s why NBA prediction markets are considered high-risk.
• 🔍 How do NBA prediction markets work?
  To trade an NBA prediction market, you buy a YEs/No event contract that correlates to the outcome you think will happen. For example, if you think the Knicks will win the next NBA Championship, you’d buy “Yes” contracts for the Knicks.