Today, we’re going to look at Polymarket vs Robinhood to compare these two CFTC-regulated prediction market sites. Both platforms allow you to trade event contracts for the outcomes of future events, including sports games, political elections, cultural happenings, and more.
Polymarket is a dedicated prediction market site; meanwhile, Robinhood is a trading platform that now also offers prediction markets to its US users. Both sites are legal for US traders aged 18+ in the majority of states. However, there are state-issued banning orders and restrictions in some locations, which we will cover in this comparison guide.
Compare Polymarket and Robinhood Prediction Market Apps
Polymarket Vs Robinhood Prediction Markets: A Comparison
Polymarket and Robinhood both offer prediction market trading to US users aged 18+, and both are regulated federally by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). However, each of them has a slightly different approach to how they offer these markets.
Polymarket is a dedicated prediction market trading platform that only accepts cryptocurrency deposits and trades. As our
Robinhood review
explains, it offers prediction markets as a derivatives platform that sources its market from Kalshi.
Here‘s a comparison table of the key facts:
Polymarket
Robinhood
🧑⚖ Regulation:
CFTC
CFTC
🔞 Age limit:
18+
18+
🇺🇸 Legal in the US:
Yes ✅
Yes ✅
❌ Prohibited/restricted states:
AZ, CT, IL, MD, MA, MI, MN, MT, NV, OH, and TN
N/A*
📱 Platform tech:
Decentralized on the Polygon network
Centralized trading platform
📈 Prediction market source:
In-house
Kalshi, Rothera, ForecastEx
💲Deposit and trading currency:
Cryptocurrency (USDC)
USD
*Legal cases pending in some states.
How Event Contracts Work on Polymarket and Robinhood
One thing that both of these platforms have in common is the way that you trade. All of the prediction markets allow you to buy and sell event contracts for future outcomes.
The trades must be balanced with equal counterparts, which is why these are considered to be P2P financial exchanges rather than sportsbooks. Event contracts are always priced between $0.01 and $0.99 to reflect the real-time market probability, as you can see in the example below.
Example of a Polymarket Prediction Market
To provide you with a visual aid, here’s a sports game prediction market that we’ve taken from Polymarket for the NBA Championship:
🏀 Team
📈 Chance
✅ Yes
❌ No
Knicks
78%
$0.78
$0.22
Spurs
22%
$0.22
$0.78
Market Resolution
Once the market is resolved, the correct contracts close at $1.00 and the incorrect ones close at $0.00. This gives you a profit if you have made a correct prediction and a loss if you haven’t.
This works exactly the same on both sites, though your exact outlay may differ on each site for the same market because of the fee structure, as we’ll explain below.
Polymarket Vs Robinhood: Trading Fees
One area where these two prediction markets are very different is in the fee structure, as we’ve explained below:
Polymarket Fees
As our
Polymarket review
explains in more detail, the fee structure on this site is somewhat complex. The site only charges taker fees, between 0% and 1.80%, depending on the prediction market category that you’re trading. Maker orders are always free.
Here’s a full breakdown of the Polymarket taker fees by category:
📈Prediction market category
💲 Taker fee percentage
Geopolitics and World Events:
0%
Sports:
0.75%
US Politics:
1.00%
Culture and Weather:
1.25%
Economics and Finance:
1.50%
Crypto:
1.80%
Robinhood Fees
Although it doesn’t always work out cheaper, Robinhood’s prediction market fee structure is a lot easier to follow. Depending on your account and membership states, you pay a flat per-contract fee of $0.01 or $0.02.
Deposit and Withdrawal Methods at Polymarket and Robinhood
Polymarket is a crypto-only exchange where the trading currency is USDC. As a result, cryptocurrency is your only deposit option, though various networks and tokens are supported.
At Robinhood, you can deposit and trade in USD or cryptocurrency. If using USD, you can deposit directly from your bank account via Wire Transfer, ACH, direct deposit, or your debit card.
💳 Deposit methods
Polymarket:
Cryptocurrency
Robinhood:
Wire Transfer, ACH, direct deposit, debit card, cryptocurrency
KYC and Verification at Polymarket and Robinhood
In line with CFTC regulatory requirements, you must be over 18 and a legal resident of a non-restricted state to trade at Polymarket or Robhinhodo Predictions. To get your account fully verified and complete KYC, you must upload the following documents on each site:
KYC requirements
Polymarket:
Photo ID, proof of address, SSN, live selfie
Robinhood:
Photo ID, SSN, and three-point selfie
Polymarket Vs Robinhood: Pros and Cons
Before we finish, here’s a comparison of the main pros and cons of these sites:
Polymarket Pros and Cons
Pros and Cons
Diverse prediction market selection
User-friendly app
High liquidity
Banned or restricted in 11 states
Robinhood Pros and Cons
Pros and Cons
Included in the main trading app
Available in all 50 states
Easy to use for beginners
Not a dedicated prediction market platform
Polymarket Vs Robinhood: The Concussion
In summary, Polymarket and Robinhood are both CFTC-regulated financial exchanges that offer prediction market trading to US users. If you are an experienced prediction market trader who’s looking for a dedicated platform, Polymarket is probably the best option. However, the crypto-only element adds additional volatility to an already risky activity.
Robinhood is the better alternative if you want prediction markets to be included in your general financial trading app. Its simple interface and smaller market selection should suit casual prediction market traders and beginners.
Compare the Offers and Features at Polymarket and Robinhood
Polymarket Vs Robinhood FAQ
Polymarket is a dedicated prediction markets platform with better liquidity and a better selection of markets. Robinhood is more beginner-friendly and has lower fees.
When it comes to prediction markets, Kalshi is probably Polymarket’s biggest competitor. However, trading apps like Robinhood now also offer prediction markets and are becoming more popular.
As Robinhood sources most of its prediction markets from Kalshi, Polymarket is probably the biggest competitor. Others to watch include Crypto.com and its prediction market app, OG.